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Gambling Facts and Fictions
Table of Contents
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Gambling Facts and Fictions: The Anti-Gambling Handbook to get yourself to stop gambling, quit gambling or never start gambling
Copyright ? 2004
?by Stephen Katz
ISBN: 1418472409
Library of Congress: 2004094023
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Poker Bankroll Building: Cash Games vs. TournamentsTwo friends start with the same bankroll. Sam loves cash games. Jay loves tournaments. Six months in, Samâs roll is up little by little, with a few dips, but most weeks end green. Jayâs graph is flat for weeks, then jumps big after one deep run, then sinks again. Both are skilled. Their money flows in very different ways. This is not taste. It is math, risk, and time. Your bankroll is your oxygen. Your game choice changes how often you breathe. Quick verdict: If you play a few hours per week and hate long downswings, start with cash games. If you can handle dry months and crave big spikes, play tournaments. With 3â5 hours/week, cash builds more steady. With 15+ hours/week and good table select, both can work, but MTTs need a deeper roll and stronger nerves. Below you will see why, and how to set real bankroll ranges that protect you. What a bankroll does (and does not do)Your bankroll is not your net worth. It is the money you risk at the table, with rules for when to move up, move down, or sit out. It keeps you in the game when variance hits. It does not fix leaks. It does not make bad games good. It is a buffer, not a promise. There are many money rules. One famous idea is the Kelly model. Pure Kelly is too wild for poker, but the logic is useful: size your risk by your edge and by the chance of loss. Read the simple primer: Kelly criterion basics. In poker we use âfractional Kellyâ ideas and then add real-world noise: rake, tilt, format swings. Cash games: the steady grind with sharp edgesOnline 6-max cash has clear stats. We talk in bb/100: big blinds won per 100 hands. A small winner might be 2â3 bb/100. A solid grinder may hit 4â6 bb/100 in soft pools. The standard deviation per 100 hands can be 70â100 bb. That means swings are normal even if you play well. See a plain view of this here: cash-game variance explained. Why cash helps bankroll building: you can quit any time, re-seat, table select, and keep edges more stable. Payouts are flatâeach pot is its own eventâso your graph tends to climb in smaller steps. Results also track skill faster because you get many hands per hour. Good tracking helps. Tools like PokerTracker 4 and Holdem Manager 3 show true winrate over big samples. But cash also stings. Deep stacks mean big pots. One cool-down session can wipe a week of work. Tilt in cash is costly because you can reload at once. Good rules on loss caps and quit-time matter as much as preflop charts. Tournaments: boom-or-bust economicsIn MTTs we talk in ROI (% return on average buy-in). A strong small-stakes grinder may have 10â25% ROI over a large sample. But MTT payouts are top heavy. Many cashes are min-cashes. A few scores do most of the work. This creates big deserts between peaks. Smart, calm players still face months in the red. For core tips on roll needs, read this: tournament bankroll management. One more point: real fields are messy. Re-entry speeds up cost. Late reg can cut edge. PKO events change EV with each bounty. You also deal with ICM at the end, which forces tight folds and weird spots that cap ROI. For a sense of how live and online results swing in reality, browse real-world tournament variance. Also check how blind levels and payout ladders work in major events: WSOP tournament structures. Bottom line: MTTs can build a roll fast if a big run comes, but you must survive long gaps. That means a deeper bankroll, a low life burn rate, and honest game select. The table you came for: bankroll ranges that do not lieThese ranges assume 100bb buy-ins for cash unless noted, standard rake, and a regular skill edge for the pool. They use field data, common coach rules, and variance math. To test your own numbers, try this clean tool: variance calculator for tournaments and cash.
Why ranges, not one number? Because your pool, rake, table select, tilt control, and game volume all shift risk. âAggressiveâ is fine when you have steady game volume, steady table select, and extra life funds outside poker. Go âConservativeâ if poker is your only roll, if you play low volume, or if you hate sharp drawdowns. Your decision tree (in plain words)If you can play only 3â5 hours per week and want your roll to grow more steady, pick cash. Start at a stake where you have at least 30â40 buy-ins. Move down if you lose 10â15% of the roll. Move up only after a clear sample shows your edge. If you have 15+ hours per week, a deep roll, and you love late-game pressure, MTTs can pay well. But set a daily bullet cap. Keep a side roll for life costs. Track EV, not only cashes. For a simple long-form view on rules, here is a broad guide: poker bankroll management guide. Move-up and move-down rules that save bankrollsWrite rules before you sit down. Keep them short and hard to break.
For ideas tested by many players over years, dig through the classic forum threads: community-tested move-up rules. Read, then adjust to your life and game flow. Tools, tracking, and where bonuses really helpTrack every hand you can. Use a HUD where allowed. Holdem Manager 3 and PokerTracker 4 are the main tools. Log hours and notes in a simple sheet if you play live. Mark tilt spots. Confirm if your winrate is real or just a heater. This is E for Experience in E-E-A-T: your own data. Bonuses matter, but only if you do the math. A headline 100% match can be small in real net value if the rake or release pace is bad. If you want a clean look at rooms, formats, rake, and welcome value, you can explore this betting resource. Treat any bonus as a small boost, not a fix. Note: some links to rooms may be sponsored; always read terms. Field notes and myth-bustingMyth: â100 buy-ins is always safe.â Not true. In soft SNGs maybe. In MTTs with 5â10% ROI and top-heavy payouts, a 150â200 buy-in downswing can still happen. In Spins, more. Your volume and edge matter more than a magic number. Myth: âMTTs are a lottery.â Also false. Skill shows in deep runs, table select, seat dynamics, and ICM. Still, variance is larger. That is the trade: high peak EV, slow feedback, heavy drawdowns. Cash flips that: lower peak EV per day, faster feedback, smoother drawdowns. Small, real numbers: why MTTs need depthSay you play $22 freezeouts with 15% ROI over time. That means your EV profit per game is $3.30. But the cashout curve is lumpy. You may brick 50 in a row. That is $1,100 of entries with few chips back. Your edge is there, but payouts pay late. A 200â400 buy-in roll ($4,400â$8,800 here) lets you stay calm and keep your A-game until the next deep run. Now say you play NL25 cash and win 5 bb/100 over 50k hands per month (a lot, but possible for full-time). That is 12.5 buy-ins EV per month before rakeback: about $312.50. You may still swing 20â30 buy-ins inside the month, but the grind feeds you in smaller bites. Your roll goal can be 40â60 buy-ins with good game select and strict rules. Game select and time blocksEdge beats volume if you can choose. In cash, table select by VPIP and who sits to your left. In MTTs, pick soft start times, good structures, and fair rake. Skip turbos if your tilt runs high. If you only have short time blocks (60â90 minutes), cash is a better fit. If you can lock a full evening or a day, MTTs fit better. Simple as that. Rake, re-entry, and how formats bend riskRake at micros can be heavy. This taxes cash winrates and SNG ROI. Move up fast once you beat a stake. In MTTs, re-entry can double or triple your true daily cost. Decide your max bullets before you register. If a PKO has a huge field and fast levels, add roll on top of the base range. Read major WSOP tournament structures to see how blind levels change skill edge. Checklist: three rules that protect your roll
Mini FAQResponsible play, legal notes, and what this guide cannot decide for youThis guide is for adults in regions where online poker is legal. Know your local laws. Play with money you can afford to lose. If poker or betting is hurting your life, get help. Here are free, trusted sources: responsible gambling support and tools for safer play. If you click any room or bonus links, treat them as ads and read terms. Your mental health and your life roll come first. No guide can promise profit. Your results depend on your skill, your game select, your focus, and luck. Use the ranges here as guard rails, then check them against your own data. Method and sources (in brief)Bankroll ranges above blend common pro rules with real pool swings. We cross-checked with variance math and public resources. For more background, see cash-game variance explained, tournament bankroll management, real-world tournament variance, WSOP tournament structures, and the broad poker bankroll management guide. Test your own EV swings with the variance calculator for tournaments and cash. One last nudge before you chooseAsk yourself: Do I want frequent feedback and smoother growth? Go cash. Do I accept long dry spells for a shot at big spikes? Go MTTs. Both tracks can work. The winning path is the one you can stick with, with a roll that lets you sleep well. Author and editorial noteBy: Bankroll Research Team (editorial desk). Editorial policy: We check facts, cite sources, and avoid guarantees. If this page lists any bonuses or rooms, treat them as ads. We may receive a fee if you visit partners. This never changes our advice on bankroll safety. |
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